Key Economic Events: Week Of 15th December 2025
Release Date: 15th December 2025
What to Expect in Markets This Week: This week features interest rate decisions from the Bank of England, European Central Bank, and Bank of Japan. Inflation data from the UK and Eurozone, along with critical US labor and inflation metrics (CPI, PCE), will be in focus. The next Fed Interest Rate Decision is scheduled on January 28th, 2026.
16 December 2025
SAR - South Africa - Day of Reconciliation
Date:
16-Dec-25, Tue, All Day
Currency:
SAR
Importance:
3
Legacy Reference:
Link
Notes:
The Day of Reconciliation is a public holiday in South Africa held annually on 16 December. The holiday came into effect in 1995 after the end of apartheid, with the intention of fostering reconciliation and national unity for the country.
USD - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Nov)
Date:
16-Dec-25, Tue, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
0.20%
Notes:
Average Hourly Earnings measures the change in the price businesses pay for labor, not including the agricultural sector; higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for USD
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)
Date:
16-Dec-25, Tue, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
0.3%
Notes:
Core Retail Sales measures the change in the total value of sales of retail goods excluding cars and gas; higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for USD
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov)
Date:
16-Dec-25, Tue, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
119K
Notes:
Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. Job creation is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of economic activity.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct)
Date:
16-Dec-25, Tue, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
0.20%
Notes:
Retail Sales measures the change in the total value of sales of retail goods; higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for USD
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - Unemployment Rate (Nov)
Date:
16-Dec-25, Tue, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
4.40%
Notes:
Unemployment Rate is the percentage of the population that is actively looking for employment; lower than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for USD
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Dec)
Date:
16-Dec-25, Tue, 20:15 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
52
Notes:
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI measures the economic health of the manufacturing sector; higher reading indicates expansion
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - S&P Global Services PMI (Dec)
Date:
16-Dec-25, Tue, 20:15 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
54.1
Notes:
S&P Global Services PMI measures the economic health of the services sector; higher reading indicates expansion
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
17 December 2025
GBP - GBP - CPI (YoY) (Nov)
Date:
17-Dec-25, Wed, 12:30 IST
Currency:
GBP
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
3.6%
Notes:
CPI (YoY) measures the yearly change in inflation; higher reading indicates higher inflation, typically bullish for GBP
Learn More:
GBPJPY GBPUSD
EUR - EUR - CPI (YoY) (Nov)
Date:
17-Dec-25, Wed, 15:30 IST
Currency:
EUR
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
2.20%
Notes:
CPI (YoY) measures the yearly change in inflation for Eurozone; higher reading may support EUR
Learn More:
EURJPY EURUSD
USD - Crude Oil Inventories
Date:
17-Dec-25, Wed, 21:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
-1.812M
Notes:
The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation.
If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected.
If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
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USDJPY EURUSD
18 December 2025
GBP - BoE Interest Rate Decision (Dec)
Date:
18-Dec-25, Thu, 17:30 IST
Currency:
GBP
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
4.00%
Notes:
BoE Interest Rate Decision shows the central bank's monetary policy stance; higher rates typically support GBP
Learn More:
GBPJPY GBPUSD
EUR - Deposit Facility Rate (Dec)
Date:
18-Dec-25, Thu, 18:45 IST
Currency:
EUR
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
2.00%
Notes:
Deposit Facility Rate is ECB's rate on overnight deposits; changes may affect EUR
Learn More:
EURJPY EURUSD
EUR - ECB Interest Rate Decision (Dec)
Date:
18-Dec-25, Thu, 18:45 IST
Currency:
EUR
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
2.15%
Notes:
ECB Interest Rate Decision sets monetary policy for Eurozone; higher rates typically support EUR
Learn More:
EURJPY EURUSD
USD - Core CPI (MoM) (Nov)
Date:
18-Dec-25, Thu, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
0.20%
Notes:
Core CPI (MoM) measures monthly core inflation; higher than expected reading is bearish for USD
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - CPI (MoM) (Nov)
Date:
18-Dec-25, Thu, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
0.3%
Notes:
CPI (MoM) measures monthly inflation; higher reading can increase fed rate expectations
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - CPI (YoY) (Nov)
Date:
18-Dec-25, Thu, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
3.00%
Notes:
CPI (YoY) measures yearly inflation; higher reading may increase rate hike expectations
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - Initial Jobless Claims
Date:
18-Dec-25, Thu, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
-
Notes:
Initial Jobless Claims measures new unemployment claims; lower reading indicates job market strength
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Dec)
Date:
18-Dec-25, Thu, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
1.7
Notes:
Philadelphia Fed Index measures manufacturing activity; positive reading indicates expansion
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
19 December 2025
USD - ECB Press Conference
Date:
19-Dec-25, Fri, 19:15 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
-
Notes:
The European Central Bank (ECB) press conference is held monthly, about 45 minutes after the Minimum Bid Rate is announced. The conference is approximately an hour long and has two parts. Firstly, a prepared statement is read, then the conference is open to press questions. The press conference examines the factors which affected the ECB's interest rate decision and deals with the overall economic outlook and inflation. Most importantly, it provides clues regarding future monetary policy. High levels of volatility can frequently be observed during the press conference as press questions lead to unscripted answers.
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
JPY - BoJ Interest Rate Decision
Date:
19-Dec-25, Fri, 8:30 IST
Currency:
JPY
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
0.5%
Notes:
BoJ Interest Rate Decision determines monetary policy for Japan; higher rates typically support JPY
Learn More:
USDJPY EURJPY
USD - Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Oct)
Date:
19-Dec-25, Fri, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
0.2%
Notes:
Core PCE measures monthly core inflation excluding food/energy; higher reading may pressure USD
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Oct)
Date:
19-Dec-25, Fri, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
2.8%
Notes:
Core PCE (YoY) measures yearly core inflation; higher reading may support rate hike expectations
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
USD - Existing Home Sales (Nov)
Date:
19-Dec-25, Fri, 20:30 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
Link
Previous:
4.10M
Notes:
Existing Home Sales measures the number of previously owned homes sold; higher reading indicates housing market strength
Learn More:
USDJPY EURUSD
28 January 2026
USD - Fed Interest Rate Decision
Date:
28-Jan-26, Wed, 23:30 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
3.57%
Previous:
3.63%
Notes:
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members vote on where to set the target interest rate. Traders watch interest rate changes closely as relative short term interest rates are a primary factor in currency valuation. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
Learn More:
CME FedWatch Tool
Source: Investing.com, Firm Research. Notes as of 15th December 2025, 8 PM.
For historical data and resources, please visit:
quantwater.tech/resources