Key Economic Events: Week Of 30th June 2025
Release Date: 29th June 2025
30 June 2025
CNY - Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
Date:
30-Jun-25, Mon, 7:00 IST
Currency:
CNY
Importance:
3
Previous:
49.50
Notes:
China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) provides an early indication each month of economic activities in the Chinese manufacturing sector. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the CNY , while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the CNY.
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USDCNY
USDCNH
GBP - GDP (QoQ) (Q1)
Date:
30-Jun-25, Mon, 11:30 IST
Currency:
GBP
Importance:
3
Forecast:
0.70%
Previous:
0.70%
Notes:
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) gauges the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced within the economy. It is the most comprehensive measure of economic activity and an important indicator of economic health. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the GBP, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the GBP.
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GBPJPY
GBPUSD
GBP - GDP (YoY) (Q1)
Date:
30-Jun-25, Mon, 11:30 IST
Currency:
GBP
Importance:
3
Forecast:
1.30%
Previous:
1.30%
Notes:
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) gauges the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced within the economy. It is the most comprehensive measure of economic activity and an important indicator of economic health. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the GBP, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the GBP.
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GBPJPY
GBPUSD
EUR - German CPI (MoM) (Jun) P
Date:
30-Jun-25, Mon, 17:30 IST
Currency:
EUR
Importance:
3
Previous:
0.10%
Notes:
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the prices of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. As Germany has the largest output of any country in the euro-zone, the European Central bank pays very close attention to this figure in its role of maintaining price stability. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the EUR, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the EUR.
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EURJPY
EURUSD
USD - Chicago PMI (Jun)
Date:
30-Jun-25, Mon, 19:15 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
40.50
Notes:
The Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a diffusion index incorporating survey results provided by manufacturing firms around the Chicago area. A reading above fifty suggests the manufacturing sector is expanding, while a reading below fifty suggests the manufacturing sector is in contraction. The Chicago PMI can be of some assistance in forecasting the ISM manufacturing PMI. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
01 July 2025
CAD - Canada Day
Date:
01-Jul-25, Tues, All Day
Currency:
CAD
Importance:
3
HKD - Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Establishment Day
Date:
01-Jul-25, Tues, All Day
Currency:
HKD
Importance:
3
EUR - CPI (YoY) (Jun) P
Date:
01-Jul-25, Tues, 14:30 IST
Currency:
EUR
Importance:
3
Previous:
1.90%
Notes:
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the prices of goods and services contained in a basket of consumer items. The Central bank pays very close attention to this figure in its role of maintaining price stability. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the EUR, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the EUR.
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EURJPY
EURUSD
USD - Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Date:
01-Jul-25, Tues, 19:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Notes:
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell (Feb. 2018 – Feb. 2026) is to speak. As head of the Fed, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the U.S. dollar's value than any other person. Traders closely watch his speeches as they are often used to drop hints regarding future monetary policy.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
Date:
01-Jul-25, Tues, 19:15 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
52.00
Notes:
The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a diffusion index incorporating survey results provided by manufacturing firms throughout the country. A reading above fifty suggests the manufacturing sector is expanding, while a reading below fifty suggests the manufacturing sector is in contraction. Policymakers and traders watch these surveys closely as purchasing managers usually have early access to data about their company’s performance, rather than waiting for the hard data to emerge. While manufacturing accounts for a far smaller percentage of economic output than services, it is far more cyclical and is therefore a useful indicator of where in the economic cycle the economy is currently situated. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
Date:
01-Jul-25, Tues, 19:30 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
48.50
Notes:
The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) Report on Business is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questions asked of purchasing and supply executives in over 400 industrial companies across the United States. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun)
Date:
01-Jul-25, Tues, 19:30 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
69.40
Notes:
The Prices Paid subcategory is a diffusion index calculated by adding the percent of responses indicating they paid more for inputs plus one-half of those responding that they paid the same for inputs. The resulting single index number is then seasonally adjusted. The Prices Paid diffusion index is one of a number of indicators pointing to the degree of inflationary pressures in the economy. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - JOLTS Job Openings (May)
Date:
01-Jul-25, Tues, 19:30 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
7.391M
Notes:
A survey done by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics to help measure job vacancies. It collects data from employers about their businesses' employment, job openings, recruitment, hires and separations. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
02 July 2025
USD - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun)
Date:
02-Jul-25, Wed, 17:45 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
37K
Notes:
ADP is performs payroll services for its clients. The ADP National Employment Report is a measure of the monthly change in non-farm, private employment, based on the payroll data of approximately 400,000 U.S. business clients. The release, two days ahead of government data, is used as a predictor of the government's Labour Market Report. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - Crude Oil Inventories
Date:
02-Jul-25, Wed, 20:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
-5.836M
Notes:
The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Inventories measures the weekly change in the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US firms. The level of inventories influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation. If the increase in crude inventories is more than expected, it implies weaker demand and is bearish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is less than expected. If the increase in crude is less than expected, it implies greater demand and is bullish for crude prices. The same can be said if a decline in inventories is more than expected.
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USOILRoll
03 July 2025
United States - Independence Day - Early close at 13:00
Date:
03-Jul-25, Thur, All Day
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
USD - Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (May)
Date:
03-Jul-25, Thur, 18:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
0.30%
Previous:
0.40%
Notes:
Average Hourly Earnings measures the change in the amount of money businesses pay for labour, excluding the agricultural sector. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - Initial Jobless Claims
Date:
03-Jul-25, Thur, 18:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
239K
Previous:
236K
Notes:
Initial Jobless Claims measures the number of people who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. This is the most timely U.S. economic data, but the market impact varies from week to week. A reading that is higher than forecast is generally negative (bearish) for the USD, while a lower than forecast reading is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - Nonfarm Payrolls (May)
Date:
03-Jul-25, Thur, 18:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
120K
Previous:
139K
Notes:
Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of people employed during the prior month, excluding workers in the farming industry. Given that full employment is one of the Federal Reserves mandates, it is very closely watched. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - Unemployment Rate (Jun)
Date:
03-Jul-25, Thur, 18:00 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
4.30%
Previous:
4.20%
Notes:
The Unemployment Rate measures the percentage of the total work force that is not working, yet actively seeking employment. A reading that is higher than forecast is generally negative (bearish) for the USD, while a lower than forecast reading is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - Services PMI (Jun)
Date:
03-Jul-25, Thur, 19:15 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
53.10
Notes:
The Service PMI release is published monthly by Markit Economics. The data are based on surveys of over 400 executives in private sector service companies. An index level of 50 denotes no change since the previous month, while a level above 50 signals an improvement, and below 50 indicates a deterioration. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
Date:
03-Jul-25, Thur, 19:30 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
49.90
Notes:
The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (also known as the ISM Services PMI) report on Business, is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questions asked of more than 370 purchasing and supply executives in over 62 different industries. A reading above 50 percent indicates the non-manufacturing sector economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates the non-manufacturing sector is generally contracting. Given the large proportion of the US economy engaged in the services sector, this report offers insights into the health of the overall US economy. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
USD - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun)
Date:
03-Jul-25, Thur, 19:30 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Previous:
68.70
Notes:
The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) (also known as the ISM Services PMI) report on Business, is based on data compiled from monthly replies to questions asked of more than 370 purchasing and supply executives in over 62 different industries. The Prices Paid subcategory is a diffusion index calculated by adding the percent of responses indicating they paid more for inputs plus one-half of those responding that they paid the same for inputs. The resulting single index number is then seasonally adjusted. The Prices Paid diffusion index is one of a number of indicators pointing to the degree of inflationary pressures in the economy. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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USDJPY
EURUSD
04 July 2025
United States - Independence Day
Date:
04-Jul-25, Fri, All Day
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
30 July 2025
USD - Fed Interest Rate Decision
Date:
30-Jul-25, Wed, 23:30 IST
Currency:
USD
Importance:
3
Forecast:
4.32%
Previous:
4.38%
Notes:
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces its decision on the target range for the federal funds rate. Market expectations (e.g., via CME FedWatch Tool) and the accompanying statement/press conference are crucial for determining market impact and future policy direction. A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.
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CME FedWatch Tool
Source: Bloomberg, ADSS, WSJ, News Articles, Company Research. Notes as of 29th June 2025, 9 PM.
For historical data and resources, please visit:
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